Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 08/08, 09:00

Prediction: Hills United FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC

Team pages: Hills United FC · Canterbury Bankstown FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Hills United FC1.94

Canterbury Bankstown FC1.9

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Hills United FC Draw Canterbury Bankstown FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hills United FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLDWLD

Canterbury Bankstown FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWLLD

Head-to-head

Hills United FC 4–1–1 Canterbury Bankstown FC (6 last)

Canterbury Bankstown FC1-2Hills United FC
Hills United FC5-2Canterbury Bankstown FC
Canterbury Bankstown FC3-2Hills United FC
Hills United FC1-0Canterbury Bankstown FC
Canterbury Bankstown FC1-1Hills United FC
Hills United FC3-2Canterbury Bankstown FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hills United FC 1514 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1533

	Hills United FC	Draw	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hills United FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hills United FC	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	3.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC 4–1–1 Canterbury Bankstown FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Hills United FC
05/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	5-2 HT 0-1	Canterbury Bankstown FC
22/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	3-2 HT 2-0	Hills United FC
12/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC
29/04/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Hills United FC
06/02/21 Australia Friendlies	Hills United FC	3-2 HT 1-1	Canterbury Bankstown FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	26	18	5	3	65	32	59
2	Northern Tigers	26	14	7	5	46	26	49
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	26	14	5	7	49	40	47
4	Macarthur Rams	26	13	6	7	34	27	45
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	26	12	6	8	61	44	42
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	26	10	8	8	38	36	38
7	Hills United FC	26	10	7	9	45	43	37
8	Bulls FC Academy	26	11	3	12	47	41	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	26	9	9	8	51	40	36
10	Hurstville FC	26	9	6	11	40	43	33
11	Inter Lions	26	8	5	13	34	48	29
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	26	7	6	13	42	54	27
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	26	6	9	11	48	57	27
14	Dulwich Hill	26	6	9	11	34	50	27
15	Prospect United	26	2	13	11	25	46	19
16	Western City Rangers	26	5	4	17	29	61	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hills United FC	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Bankstown City Lions FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Newcastle Jets NPL	1-2 L	6-5 W
Inter Lions	2-2 D	4-2 W
Hurstville FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Prospect United	0-0 D	2-1 W
Dulwich Hill	6-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Canterbury Bankstown FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hills United FC

WDWDLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
11/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
27/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
13/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	5	1	D
30/05	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	6-0	5	0	W

Canterbury Bankstown FC

WDWWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-3	6	3	D
25/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
18/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	5	0	W
03/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
27/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	6-0	6	2	W
20/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-1	4	1	W
13/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	3-2	6-5	8	1	W
06/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
30/05	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	4-2	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hills United FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hills United FC win (39%). Probabilities: Hills United FC 39%, draw 23%, Canterbury Bankstown FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Hills United FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Hills United FC 1.94 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hills United FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.