Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 31/07, 12:00

Prediction: Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans

Team pages: Prospect United · Blacktown Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Prospect United1.11

Blacktown Spartans2.19

1X2

18% 20% 62%

Prospect United Draw Blacktown Spartans

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Prospect United 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDDDDLLD

Blacktown Spartans 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Prospect United 0–1 Blacktown Spartans (1 last)

Blacktown Spartans4-0Prospect United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Prospect United 1465 · Blacktown Spartans 1599

	Prospect United	Draw	Blacktown Spartans
Our model	17%	22%	61%
Market	19%	18%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blacktown Spartans (rating 1465 vs 1599).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Prospect United	Blacktown Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.4	3.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X5.00

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.93

2 (-1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.40 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:03 +3’	5.00	5.00	1.40
06:05 +1’	4.50▼	5.00	1.44▲
16:03 +4’	4.50	5.00	1.45▲
16:54 +14’	4.75▲	5.00	1.44▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Prospect United 0–0–1 Blacktown Spartans

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	4-0 HT 1-0	Prospect United

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	25	17	5	3	63	31	56
2	Northern Tigers	25	13	7	5	43	25	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	25	14	4	7	47	38	46
4	Macarthur Rams	25	12	6	7	33	27	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	25	12	5	8	58	41	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	25	10	7	8	37	35	37
7	Hills United FC	25	10	6	9	43	41	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	25	11	3	11	47	40	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	25	8	9	8	42	40	33
10	Hurstville FC	25	9	6	10	39	40	33
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	25	7	6	12	41	50	27
12	Inter Lions	25	7	5	13	30	47	26
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	25	6	8	11	47	56	26
14	Dulwich Hill	25	6	8	11	31	47	26
15	Prospect United	25	2	13	10	24	44	19
16	Western City Rangers	25	5	4	16	29	52	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Prospect United	Blacktown Spartans
Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Hakoah Sydney City East	1-1 D	1-2 L
Hills United FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Dulwich Hill	0-0 D	1-1 D
Newcastle Jets NPL	2-2 D	7-2 W
Northern Tigers	0-3 L	3-0 W
Central Coast Mariners U21	4-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Blacktown Spartans (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Prospect United

WLDDDDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
20/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
14/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
31/05	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
24/05	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	4-2	–	–	W

Blacktown Spartans

DWLWDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	3-0	4	1	W
18/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
12/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
04/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	7-2	–	–	W
26/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
20/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
12/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
06/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/05	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	4-0	4-1	6	1	W
23/05	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Blacktown Spartans win (62%). Probabilities: Prospect United 18%, draw 20%, Blacktown Spartans 62%.

How many goals are expected in Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Prospect United 1.11 · Blacktown Spartans 2.19), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.