Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 02/08, 07:00

Prediction: Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Inter Lions

Team pages: Central Coast Mariners U21 · Inter Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Central Coast Mariners U211.79

Inter Lions1.69

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Central Coast Mariners U21 Draw Inter Lions

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Central Coast Mariners U21 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Inter Lions 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Central Coast Mariners U21 1–0 Inter Lions (1 last)

Inter Lions1-5Central Coast Mariners U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Coast Mariners U21 1412 · Inter Lions 1468

	Central Coast Mariners U21	Draw	Inter Lions
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Lions (rating 1412 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Coast Mariners U21	Inter Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.2	2.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +10’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners U21 1–0–0 Inter Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Inter Lions	1-5 HT 0-3	Central Coast Mariners U21

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	25	17	5	3	63	31	56
2	Northern Tigers	25	13	7	5	43	25	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	25	14	4	7	47	38	46
4	Macarthur Rams	25	12	6	7	33	27	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	25	12	5	8	58	41	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	25	10	7	8	37	35	37
7	Hills United FC	25	10	6	9	43	41	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	25	11	3	11	47	40	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	25	8	9	8	42	40	33
10	Hurstville FC	25	9	6	10	39	40	33
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	25	7	6	12	41	50	27
12	Inter Lions	25	7	5	13	30	47	26
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	25	6	8	11	47	56	26
14	Dulwich Hill	25	6	8	11	31	47	26
15	Prospect United	25	2	13	10	24	44	19
16	Western City Rangers	25	5	4	16	29	52	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Coast Mariners U21	Inter Lions
Bulls FC Academy	1-3 L	2-1 W
Northern Tigers	1-2 L	0-1 L
Rydalmere Lions FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
Canterbury Bankstown FC	0-6 L	2-4 L
Macarthur Rams	0-1 L	2-3 L
Prospect United	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Lions (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Coast Mariners U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-3	3	6	L
19/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-2	5	1	L
05/07	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-6	2	2	L
20/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
30/05	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-4	–	–	L

Inter Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
18/07	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
11/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
04/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
27/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
20/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
06/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
30/05	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-4	3	4	L
23/05	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Inter Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Coast Mariners U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners U21 40%, draw 24%, Inter Lions 36%.

How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Inter Lions?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Central Coast Mariners U21 1.79 · Inter Lions 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Inter Lions?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.