Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 01/08, 09:00

Prediction: Bulls FC Academy vs Macarthur Rams

Team pages: Bulls FC Academy · Macarthur Rams

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Bulls FC Academy1.59

Macarthur Rams1.37

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Bulls FC Academy Draw Macarthur Rams

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bulls FC Academy 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDLWLW

Macarthur Rams 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Bulls FC Academy 4–1–1 Macarthur Rams (6 last)

Macarthur Rams1-0Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy2-1Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams2-2Bulls FC Academy
Macarthur Rams0-1Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy1-0Macarthur Rams
Bulls FC Academy2-1Macarthur Rams

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulls FC Academy 1487 · Macarthur Rams 1546

	Bulls FC Academy	Draw	Macarthur Rams
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur Rams (rating 1487 vs 1546).
H2H favours Bulls FC Academy: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulls FC Academy	Macarthur Rams
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.1	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +9’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy 4–1–1 Macarthur Rams

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	1-0 HT 1-0	Bulls FC Academy
14/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	2-1 HT 2-1	Macarthur Rams
01/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	2-2 HT 0-2	Bulls FC Academy
25/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	0-1 HT 0-1	Bulls FC Academy
17/02/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	1-0 HT 1-0	Macarthur Rams
16/06/19 Australia New South Wales League 2	Bulls FC Academy	2-1 HT 0-1	Macarthur Rams

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	25	17	5	3	63	31	56
2	Northern Tigers	25	13	7	5	43	25	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	25	14	4	7	47	38	46
4	Macarthur Rams	25	12	6	7	33	27	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	25	12	5	8	58	41	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	25	10	7	8	37	35	37
7	Hills United FC	25	10	6	9	43	41	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	25	11	3	11	47	40	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	25	8	9	8	42	40	33
10	Hurstville FC	25	9	6	10	39	40	33
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	25	7	6	12	41	50	27
12	Inter Lions	25	7	5	13	30	47	26
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	25	6	8	11	47	56	26
14	Dulwich Hill	25	6	8	11	31	47	26
15	Prospect United	25	2	13	10	24	44	19
16	Western City Rangers	25	5	4	16	29	52	19

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulls FC Academy	Macarthur Rams
Central Coast Mariners U21	3-1 W	1-0 W
Bankstown City Lions FC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Western City Rangers	2-3 L	2-0 W
Prospect United	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hurstville FC	4-1 W	1-2 L
Rydalmere Lions FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Hills United FC	2-2 D	2-3 L
Newcastle Jets NPL	1-0 W	1-0 W
Inter Lions	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bulls FC Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	3-1	11	6	W
18/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
11/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	5-3	7	4	W
04/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	11	1	D
20/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
13/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
05/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	1	1	D
30/05	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
23/05	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L

Macarthur Rams

WWWLWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
17/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
10/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
04/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
06/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/05	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy vs Macarthur Rams?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulls FC Academy win (42%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy 42%, draw 25%, Macarthur Rams 33%.

How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy vs Macarthur Rams?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Bulls FC Academy 1.59 · Macarthur Rams 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy vs Macarthur Rams?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.