Prediction: Manly Utd vs SD Raiders
Expected goals: 2.59 (Manly Utd 1.47 · SD Raiders 1.13). The model gives 44% home, 27% draw, 28% away. Under 2.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Manly Utd is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SD Raiders 4-3-3 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Manly Utd and 1 for SD Raiders.
| Manly Utd | Draw | SD Raiders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manly Utd | SD Raiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Utd 0–0–1 SD Raiders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | SD Raiders | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Manly Utd |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC U21 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Sutherland Sharks | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 26 |
| 11 | Manly Utd | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 24 |
| 13 | University NSW | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 22 |
| 14 | St George Saints | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Blacktown City | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manly Utd | SD Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney United 58 | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Apia L Tigers | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| St George City FA | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| University NSW | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| NWS Spirit FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: SD Raiders (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manly Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
SD Raiders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manly Utd vs SD Raiders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manly Utd win (44%). Probabilities: Manly Utd 44%, draw 27%, SD Raiders 28%.
How many goals are expected in Manly Utd vs SD Raiders?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Manly Utd 1.47 · SD Raiders 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Manly Utd vs SD Raiders?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.