Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 26/07, 23:30
Prediction: Audax Italiano vs Universidad de Chile
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Audax Italiano1.22
Universidad de Chile1.44
1X2
Audax Italiano
Draw
Universidad de Chile
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Audax Italiano
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Audax Italiano
2–3–1
Universidad de Chile
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audax Italiano 1523 · Universidad de Chile 1539
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Audax Italiano: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Italiano | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano 2–3–1 Universidad de Chile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Universidad de Chile | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Audax Italiano |
| 31/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Audax Italiano | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Universidad de Chile |
| 31/01/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 17/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 14/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile |
| 28/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Italiano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Universidad de Chile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audax Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (41%). Probabilities: Audax Italiano 31%, draw 28%, Universidad de Chile 41%.
How many goals are expected in Audax Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Audax Italiano 1.22 · Universidad de Chile 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs Universidad de Chile?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.