Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 22/08, 02:30
Prediction: Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera
Team pages: Audax Italiano · Union La Calera
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Audax Italiano1.76
Union La Calera1.12
1X2
Audax Italiano
Draw
Union La Calera
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Audax Italiano
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Union La Calera
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Audax Italiano
2–1–3
Union La Calera
(6 last)
- Audax Italiano1-1Union La Calera
- Union La Calera0-1Audax Italiano
- Union La Calera3-0Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano4-3Union La Calera
- Union La Calera1-0Audax Italiano
- Union La Calera2-1Audax Italiano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audax Italiano (rating 1531 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Union La Calera: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Italiano | Union La Calera | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano 2–1–3 Union La Calera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Audax Italiano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
| 21/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Union La Calera | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
| 28/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 17/10/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 4-3 HT 1-3 | Union La Calera |
| 26/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 02/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 45 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | Palestino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 6 | Nublense | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 24 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Concepcion | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Audax Italiano | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nublense | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
Union La Calera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Audax Italiano win (51%). Probabilities: Audax Italiano 51%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 23%.
How many goals are expected in Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Audax Italiano 1.76 · Union La Calera 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.