Football · USA USL League One · 25/10, 01:30

Prediction: Fort Wayne FC vs AC Boise

Team pages: Fort Wayne FC · AC Boise

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Fort Wayne FC1.51

AC Boise1.66

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Fort Wayne FC Draw AC Boise

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Fort Wayne FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDDDWWL

AC Boise 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDLWWW

Head-to-head

Fort Wayne FC 1–0 AC Boise (1 last)

AC Boise1-3Fort Wayne FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fort Wayne FC 1527 · AC Boise 1544

	Fort Wayne FC	Draw	AC Boise
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fort Wayne FC	AC Boise
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.9	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.35 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.49 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +8’	2.45	3.50	2.35
17:53 +18’	2.60▲	3.50	2.25▼
12:07 +14’	2.60	3.60▲	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:41 +29’	2.78	3.60	2.20
11:19 +62’	2.59▼	3.57▼	2.35▲
14:35 +145’	2.45▼	3.57	2.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fort Wayne FC 1–0–0 AC Boise

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 USA USL League One	AC Boise	1-3 HT 0-1	Fort Wayne FC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	31	20	6	5	73	42	66
2	Union Omaha	31	19	4	8	54	34	61
3	Forward Madison FC	31	16	7	8	54	30	55
4	AC Boise	31	16	7	8	49	41	55
5	Spokane Velocity FC	31	16	6	9	50	43	54
6	One Knoxville SC	32	15	9	8	52	36	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	31	14	4	13	50	44	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	31	12	9	10	47	40	45
9	FC Naples	31	13	4	14	38	46	43
10	Westchester SC	31	11	6	14	53	49	39
11	Sarasota Paradise	31	11	6	14	47	49	39
12	Corpus Christi FC	31	9	9	13	34	49	36
13	Antelope Valley Alta	31	8	9	14	38	46	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	31	7	10	14	44	57	31
15	Greenville Triumph SC	31	7	6	18	36	60	27
16	New York Cosmos	31	7	5	19	39	65	26
17	Richmond Kickers	31	7	5	19	37	64	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fort Wayne FC	AC Boise
Corpus Christi FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Charlotte Independence	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Naples	2-2 D	2-0 W
One Knoxville SC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Greenville Triumph SC	3-1 W	1-0 W
New York Cosmos	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AC Boise (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fort Wayne FC

WLWLDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	1	6	L
10/10	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
08/10	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
04/10	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
26/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
20/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	7	8	D
17/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	2-0	2-3	7	6	L
13/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-1	3-1	2	7	W
06/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-2	2-4	9	7	L
03/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	5	4	W

AC Boise

DWWWDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	2	11	W
10/10	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
03/10	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
27/09	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
21/09	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
17/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
12/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-0	3-2	4	6	W
23/08	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-2	2-2	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fort Wayne FC vs AC Boise?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Boise win (41%). Probabilities: Fort Wayne FC 34%, draw 25%, AC Boise 41%.

How many goals are expected in Fort Wayne FC vs AC Boise?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Fort Wayne FC 1.51 · AC Boise 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fort Wayne FC vs AC Boise?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.