Football · USA USL League One · 25/10, 01:30

Prediction: Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC

Team pages: Sarasota Paradise · Westchester SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Sarasota Paradise2.16

Westchester SC1.46

1X2

53% 23% 25%

Sarasota Paradise Draw Westchester SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sarasota Paradise 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWLWWL

Westchester SC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Sarasota Paradise 0–1 Westchester SC (1 last)

Westchester SC2-0Sarasota Paradise

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarasota Paradise 1534 · Westchester SC 1526

	Sarasota Paradise	Draw	Westchester SC
Our model	53%	22%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sarasota Paradise	Westchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.70 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.96
2	3.30 → 3.60▲	Pinn 4.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +17’	1.83	3.70	3.30
11:48 +33’	1.70▼	3.90▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +38’	1.70	3.91	4.00
21:28 +8’	1.69▼	3.96▲	4.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarasota Paradise 0–0–1 Westchester SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/26 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Sarasota Paradise

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	31	20	6	5	73	42	66
2	Union Omaha	31	19	4	8	54	34	61
3	Forward Madison FC	31	16	7	8	54	30	55
4	AC Boise	31	16	7	8	49	41	55
5	Spokane Velocity FC	31	16	6	9	50	43	54
6	One Knoxville SC	32	15	9	8	52	36	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	31	14	4	13	50	44	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	31	12	9	10	47	40	45
9	FC Naples	31	13	4	14	38	46	43
10	Westchester SC	31	11	6	14	53	49	39
11	Sarasota Paradise	31	11	6	14	47	49	39
12	Corpus Christi FC	31	9	9	13	34	49	36
13	Antelope Valley Alta	31	8	9	14	38	46	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	31	7	10	14	44	57	31
15	Greenville Triumph SC	31	7	6	18	36	60	27
16	New York Cosmos	31	7	5	19	39	65	26
17	Richmond Kickers	31	7	5	19	37	64	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sarasota Paradise	Westchester SC
Richmond Kickers	3-2 W	5-2 W
Charlotte Independence	2-3 L	4-5 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	4-1 W	1-2 L
Forward Madison FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Spokane Velocity FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
New York Cosmos	2-1 W	2-1 W
Union Omaha	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Westchester SC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarasota Paradise

DWDDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-1	2-3	8	6	L
18/10	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
11/10	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
04/10	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	1-1	2-3	3	8	L
26/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	3-1	4-1	8	7	W
20/09	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	4-0	6-0	7	2	W
13/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
03/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
23/08	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	5	8	D

Westchester SC

LLLLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Union Omaha USA USL League One	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
11/10	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	2-0	3-2	1	5	W
04/10	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
28/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
17/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	5-0	5-2	5	4	W
13/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	2-4	4-5	3	7	L
07/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarasota Paradise win (53%). Probabilities: Sarasota Paradise 53%, draw 23%, Westchester SC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Sarasota Paradise 2.16 · Westchester SC 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.