Football · USA USL League One · 03/09, 01:00

Prediction: Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Team pages: Westchester SC · Chattanooga Red Wolves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Westchester SC1.67

Chattanooga Red Wolves1.52

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Westchester SC Draw Chattanooga Red Wolves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Westchester SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

Westchester SC 0–3 Chattanooga Red Wolves (3 last)

Chattanooga Red Wolves2-0Westchester SC
Chattanooga Red Wolves2-1Westchester SC
Westchester SC1-3Chattanooga Red Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Westchester SC 1453 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1490

	Westchester SC	Draw	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model	41%	26%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chattanooga Red Wolves: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Westchester SC	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.4	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.66
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.79 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +8’	2.20	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:15	2.14	3.66	2.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester SC 0–0–3 Chattanooga Red Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/07/26 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2-0 HT 0-0	Westchester SC
26/10/25 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2-1 HT 1-1	Westchester SC
02/08/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	1-3 HT 0-1	Chattanooga Red Wolves

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	22	14	4	4	52	29	46
2	Union Omaha	24	14	4	6	41	27	46
3	Forward Madison FC	22	13	4	5	43	23	43
4	One Knoxville SC	22	11	6	5	37	25	39
5	Spokane Velocity FC	21	12	2	7	32	27	38
6	AC Boise	23	11	5	7	36	33	38
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	21	10	2	9	40	35	32
8	Antelope Valley Alta	25	8	8	9	33	34	32
9	Fort Wayne FC	21	8	6	7	30	25	30
10	Corpus Christi FC	23	7	9	7	28	32	30
11	FC Naples	23	8	2	13	27	39	26
12	Westchester SC	22	6	5	11	34	34	23
13	Greenville Triumph SC	22	6	5	11	27	35	23
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	23	5	8	10	33	41	23
15	Sarasota Paradise	22	6	4	12	23	36	22
16	New York Cosmos	22	5	4	13	25	44	19
17	Richmond Kickers	22	5	4	13	21	43	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Westchester SC	Chattanooga Red Wolves
Corpus Christi FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Forward Madison FC	0-2 L	2-5 L
Antelope Valley Alta	0-0 D	1-0 W
New York Cosmos	3-0 W	3-3 D
Union Omaha	2-2 D	1-3 L
AC Boise	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Westchester SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Westchester SC

LLLDWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
23/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
02/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/07	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
23/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
06/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
02/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
25/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	3	1	L

Chattanooga Red Wolves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-1	2-3	3	6	L
23/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	2-1	3-3	3	4	D
20/08	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	1-3	2-3	4	2	L
16/08	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/08	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
30/07	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	2-3	2-5	5	5	L
26/07	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-1	4-2	5	3	W
16/07	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
05/07	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Westchester SC win (41%). Probabilities: Westchester SC 41%, draw 25%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 34%.

How many goals are expected in Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Westchester SC 1.67 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Westchester SC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.