Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos
Team pages: Chattanooga Red Wolves · New York Cosmos
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | New York Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (rating 1518 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | New York Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 42 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 29 |
| 10 | Fort Wayne FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 18 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | New York Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison FC | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| One Knoxville SC | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Corpus Christi FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Westchester SC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| FC Naples | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
New York Cosmos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (54%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 54%, draw 25%, New York Cosmos 22%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.8 · New York Cosmos 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.