Football · USA USL League One · 23/08, 01:00
Prediction: Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine
Team pages: Richmond Kickers · Portland Hearts of Pine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Richmond Kickers1.74
Portland Hearts of Pine1.88
1X2
Richmond Kickers
Draw
Portland Hearts of Pine
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Richmond Kickers
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Portland Hearts of Pine
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Richmond Kickers
0–1–2
Portland Hearts of Pine
(3 last)
- Portland Hearts of Pine5-1Richmond Kickers
- Richmond Kickers2-5Portland Hearts of Pine
- Portland Hearts of Pine0-0Richmond Kickers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Richmond Kickers 1446 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1461
| Richmond Kickers | Draw | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Portland Hearts of Pine: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Richmond Kickers | Portland Hearts of Pine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 3.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Richmond Kickers 0–1–2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 USA USL League One | Portland Hearts of Pine | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Richmond Kickers |
| 18/09/25 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Portland Hearts of Pine |
| 09/08/25 USA USL League One | Portland Hearts of Pine | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Richmond Kickers |
Standings · USA USL League One
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 42 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 29 |
| 10 | Fort Wayne FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 18 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Richmond Kickers | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Union Omaha | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| New York Cosmos | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Forward Madison FC | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Richmond Kickers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 26/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Portland Hearts of Pine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Portland Hearts of Pine win (40%). Probabilities: Richmond Kickers 35%, draw 25%, Portland Hearts of Pine 40%.
How many goals are expected in Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Richmond Kickers 1.74 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1.88), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.