Football · USA USL League One · 23/08, 03:30
Prediction: Spokane Velocity FC vs Greenville Triumph SC
Team pages: Spokane Velocity FC · Greenville Triumph SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Spokane Velocity FC1.59
Greenville Triumph SC1.1
1X2
Spokane Velocity FC
Draw
Greenville Triumph SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spokane Velocity FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Greenville Triumph SC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spokane Velocity FC
1–1–3
Greenville Triumph SC
(5 last)
- Spokane Velocity FC0-1Greenville Triumph SC
- Greenville Triumph SC0-4Spokane Velocity FC
- Spokane Velocity FC2-3Greenville Triumph SC
- Spokane Velocity FC0-0Greenville Triumph SC
- Greenville Triumph SC3-1Spokane Velocity FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spokane Velocity FC 1490 · Greenville Triumph SC 1469
| Spokane Velocity FC | Draw | Greenville Triumph SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Greenville Triumph SC: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spokane Velocity FC | Greenville Triumph SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spokane Velocity FC 1–1–3 Greenville Triumph SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 30/03/25 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 13/10/24 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 26/05/24 USA USL Cup | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 10/03/24 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Spokane Velocity FC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 42 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 29 |
| 10 | Fort Wayne FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 18 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spokane Velocity FC | Greenville Triumph SC |
|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Fort Wayne FC | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Charlotte Independence | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Forward Madison FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| One Knoxville SC | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Greenville Triumph SC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Greenville Triumph SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 30/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 09/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spokane Velocity FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spokane Velocity FC win (48%). Probabilities: Spokane Velocity FC 48%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph SC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Spokane Velocity FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Spokane Velocity FC 1.59 · Greenville Triumph SC 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spokane Velocity FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.