Football · USA USL League One · 17/08, 01:00
Prediction: Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
Team pages: Union Omaha · Richmond Kickers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Union Omaha2.55
Richmond Kickers0.84
1X2
Union Omaha
Draw
Richmond Kickers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Union Omaha
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Richmond Kickers
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Omaha
2–1–3
Richmond Kickers
(6 last)
- Richmond Kickers2-1Union Omaha
- Union Omaha3-4Richmond Kickers
- Richmond Kickers1-0Union Omaha
- Union Omaha1-0Richmond Kickers
- Richmond Kickers0-0Union Omaha
- Union Omaha3-0Richmond Kickers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Omaha 1524 · Richmond Kickers 1469
| Union Omaha | Draw | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Omaha (rating 1524 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Richmond Kickers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Omaha | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.1 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Omaha 2–1–3 Richmond Kickers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union Omaha |
| 26/06/25 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Richmond Kickers |
| 10/04/25 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union Omaha |
| 03/11/24 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Richmond Kickers |
| 06/10/24 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Omaha |
| 25/08/24 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Richmond Kickers |
Standings · USA USL League One
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 42 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 41 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 31 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 28 | 29 |
| 10 | Fort Wayne FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 27 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 21 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 34 | 20 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
| 15 | Sarasota Paradise | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 18 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Omaha | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Fort Wayne FC | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Forward Madison FC | 3-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Sarasota Paradise | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Charlotte Independence | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Omaha (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Omaha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 02/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Richmond Kickers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 26/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Omaha win (73%). Probabilities: Union Omaha 73%, draw 17%, Richmond Kickers 9%.
How many goals are expected in Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Union Omaha 2.55 · Richmond Kickers 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.