Football · USA USL League One · 16/08, 03:00

Prediction: Spokane Velocity FC vs Corpus Christi FC

Team pages: Spokane Velocity FC · Corpus Christi FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Spokane Velocity FC1.42

Corpus Christi FC0.75

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Spokane Velocity FC Draw Corpus Christi FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Spokane Velocity FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWWWD

Corpus Christi FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDDWDW

Head-to-head

Spokane Velocity FC 0–1–0 Corpus Christi FC (1 last)

Corpus Christi FC0-0Spokane Velocity FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spokane Velocity FC 1528 · Corpus Christi FC 1538

	Spokane Velocity FC	Draw	Corpus Christi FC
Our model	52%	30%	19%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spokane Velocity FC	Corpus Christi FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.74 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.52
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:30 +13’	1.67	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:38 +5’	1.74	3.52	4.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spokane Velocity FC 0–1–0 Corpus Christi FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 USA USL League One	Corpus Christi FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Spokane Velocity FC

Standings · USA USL League One

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	20	13	2	5	34	22	41
2	Charlotte Independence	19	12	3	4	43	27	39
3	Forward Madison FC	19	11	3	5	38	20	36
4	One Knoxville SC	19	11	3	5	33	21	36
5	AC Boise	21	10	4	7	31	29	34
6	Spokane Velocity FC	18	10	2	6	25	22	32
7	Antelope Valley Alta	22	8	8	6	32	26	32
8	Chattanooga Red Wolves	17	9	1	7	31	25	28
9	Fort Wayne FC	19	7	6	6	25	22	27
10	Corpus Christi FC	20	6	8	6	23	26	26
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	19	5	6	8	29	33	21
12	FC Naples	19	6	2	11	21	31	20
13	Westchester SC	19	5	4	10	28	27	19
14	Greenville Triumph SC	19	5	4	10	21	32	19
15	Sarasota Paradise	19	5	3	11	18	30	18
16	Richmond Kickers	19	5	3	11	18	35	18
17	New York Cosmos	18	3	2	13	18	40	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spokane Velocity FC	Corpus Christi FC
Charlotte Independence	3-0 W	1-2 L
Richmond Kickers	2-0 W	1-0 W
One Knoxville SC	0-4 L	1-1 D
Antelope Valley Alta	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Spokane Velocity FC

LLWLLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
26/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	3-1	6	6	W
23/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
19/07	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
11/07	Oakland Roots USA USL Cup	1-1	3-1	2	1	W
05/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
02/07	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	12	5	L
25/06	Westchester SC USA USL League One	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
21/06	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-2	0-4	10	4	L
14/06	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

Corpus Christi FC

WWDLWDDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
26/07	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
19/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/07	One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
05/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
01/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
25/06	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
21/06	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	2-0	4-1	2	6	W
14/06	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spokane Velocity FC vs Corpus Christi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spokane Velocity FC win (53%). Probabilities: Spokane Velocity FC 53%, draw 27%, Corpus Christi FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Spokane Velocity FC vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Spokane Velocity FC 1.42 · Corpus Christi FC 0.75), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Spokane Velocity FC vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.