Football · USA USL League One · 26/07, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.47
One Knoxville SC1.28
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw
One Knoxville SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga Red Wolves
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
One Knoxville SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–2–2
One Knoxville SC
(6 last)
- One Knoxville SC1-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
- One Knoxville SC2-0Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-0One Knoxville SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1543 · One Knoxville SC 1529
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | One Knoxville SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | One Knoxville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 7 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–2–2 One Knoxville SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 USA USL Cup | One Knoxville SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 02/10/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 27/07/25 USA USL Cup | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 06/07/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 06/10/24 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-1 HT 1-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 17/08/24 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | One Knoxville SC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 30 |
| 4 | Spokane Velocity FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Antelope Valley Alta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | One Knoxville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Antelope Valley Alta | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| San Antonio FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Corpus Christi FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: One Knoxville SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
One Knoxville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 16/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (41%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 41%, draw 27%, One Knoxville SC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville SC?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.47 · One Knoxville SC 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.