Football · USA USL League One · 16/07, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Antelope Valley Alta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.52
Antelope Valley Alta0.91
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw
Antelope Valley Alta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga Red Wolves
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Antelope Valley Alta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–2–1
Antelope Valley Alta
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1503 · Antelope Valley Alta 1531
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | Antelope Valley Alta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Antelope Valley Alta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 7.1 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 0–2–1 Antelope Valley Alta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 USA USL League One | Antelope Valley Alta | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 31/08/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Antelope Valley Alta |
| 13/04/25 USA USL League One | Antelope Valley Alta | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Antelope Valley Alta | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 24 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 24 |
| 7 | Forward Madison FC | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 23 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Antelope Valley Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Charlotte Independence | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Union Omaha | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Antelope Valley Alta (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Antelope Valley Alta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/05 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Antelope Valley Alta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (51%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 51%, draw 27%, Antelope Valley Alta 22%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Antelope Valley Alta?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.52 · Antelope Valley Alta 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Antelope Valley Alta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.