Football · USA USL League One · 16/07, 00:30

Prediction: One Knoxville SC vs Fort Wayne FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
One Knoxville SC1.67
Fort Wayne FC1.06
1X2
51% 26% 23%
One Knoxville SC Draw Fort Wayne FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
One Knoxville SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLLDWDWWWD
Fort Wayne FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDLDDWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · One Knoxville SC 1546 · Fort Wayne FC 1512
One Knoxville SCDrawFort Wayne FC
Our model50%27%23%
Market51%26%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

One Knoxville SCFort Wayne FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.51.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.15 / 0.2

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 161015 251831
2 Charlotte Independence 14932 341830
3 One Knoxville SC 14932 261230
4 Antelope Valley Alta 16673 231825
5 AC Boise 16736 232324
6 Fort Wayne FC 14662 201224
7 Forward Madison FC 13724 221423
8 Spokane Velocity FC 15726 172123
9 Portland Hearts of Pine 15555 242420
10 Chattanooga Red Wolves 12615 221519
11 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
12 Corpus Christi FC 16466 202618
13 FC Naples 175210 182717
14 Westchester SC 15429 232314
15 Greenville Triumph SC 13427 142114
16 Richmond Kickers 14338 122412
17 New York Cosmos 143110 173310

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOne Knoxville SCFort Wayne FC
Corpus Christi FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
AC Boise 2-1 W 3-1 W
Spokane Velocity FC 4-0 W 3-0 W
Union Omaha 1-2 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: One Knoxville SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

One Knoxville SC

WLLDWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 23 D
03/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 35 W
21/06 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
2-0 4-0 44 W
14/06 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
2-0 3-1 54 W
11/06 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 34 D
30/05 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
0-0 2-0 86 W
24/05 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-1 2-2 28 D
17/05 San Antonio FC
USA USL Cup
0-1 0-1 77 L
14/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
1-1 1-2 95 L
03/05 FC Naples
USA USL League One
1-0 3-0 24 W

Fort Wayne FC

DDWDLDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Detroit City FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 23 L
05/07 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
2-0 3-0 23 W
21/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-0 36 W
18/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
11/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
07/06 Union Omaha
USA USL Cup
2-2 2-4 43 L
31/05 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 77 D
24/05 AC Boise
USA USL League One
1-0 3-1 16 W
21/05 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 88 D
17/05 Indy Eleven
USA USL Cup
1-1 2-2 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in One Knoxville SC vs Fort Wayne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a One Knoxville SC win (51%). Probabilities: One Knoxville SC 51%, draw 26%, Fort Wayne FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in One Knoxville SC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model expects 2.73 goals (One Knoxville SC 1.67 · Fort Wayne FC 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in One Knoxville SC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.