Prediction: Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC
Expected goals: 2.14 (Sacramento Republic 1.24 · Rhode Island FC 0.9). The model gives 43% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Sacramento Republic sits at 4-3-3 (W-D-L), while Rhode Island FC arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Sacramento Republic and 0 for Rhode Island FC, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacramento Republic | Rhode Island FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacramento Republic 1–2–0 Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/25 USA USL Cup | Rhode Island FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 22/06/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 12/05/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Sacramento Republic |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 4 | Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 18 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 16 |
| 8 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 11 | Lexington SC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 14 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sacramento Republic | Rhode Island FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Brooklyn FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sacramento Republic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/04 | Minnesota United USA US Open Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacramento Republic win (43%). Probabilities: Sacramento Republic 43%, draw 32%, Rhode Island FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Sacramento Republic 1.24 · Rhode Island FC 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.