Football · USA USL Championship · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Loudoun United FC1.25
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.73
1X2
Loudoun United FC
Draw
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Loudoun United FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Loudoun United FC
3–1–2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampa Bay Rowdies (rating 1444 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Loudoun United FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Loudoun United FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 3.2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Loudoun United FC 3–1–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 28/09/25 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 13/04/25 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 18/08/24 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Loudoun United FC |
| 30/06/24 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 01/10/23 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Loudoun United FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Loudoun United FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAX | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Charleston Battery | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Brooklyn FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampa Bay Rowdies (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Loudoun United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 17/05 | Miami FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampa Bay Rowdies win (48%). Probabilities: Loudoun United FC 26%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 48%.
How many goals are expected in Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Loudoun United FC 1.25 · Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.73), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Loudoun United FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.