Football · USA USL Championship · 19/07, 01:30
Prediction: Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Rhode Island FC1.24
Hartford Athletic1.18
1X2
Rhode Island FC
Draw
Hartford Athletic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rhode Island FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Hartford Athletic
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhode Island FC
2–3–1
Hartford Athletic
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hartford Athletic (rating 1495 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Rhode Island FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhode Island FC | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhode Island FC 2–3–1 Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 USA USL Cup | Hartford Athletic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 02/04/26 USA US Open Cup | Rhode Island FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 27/07/25 USA USL Cup | Rhode Island FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hartford Athletic |
| 19/07/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 11/08/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hartford Athletic |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhode Island FC | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Orange County SC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Westchester SC | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hartford Athletic (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhode Island FC win (36%). Probabilities: Rhode Island FC 36%, draw 30%, Hartford Athletic 33%.
How many goals are expected in Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Rhode Island FC 1.24 · Hartford Athletic 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.