Football · USA USL Championship · 02/08, 01:00

Prediction: Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Loudoun United FC1.18

Hartford Athletic1.18

1X2

35% 31% 35%

Loudoun United FC Draw Hartford Athletic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Loudoun United FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDLDW

Hartford Athletic 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLDWL

Head-to-head

Loudoun United FC 4–1–1 Hartford Athletic (6 last)

Hartford Athletic0-0Loudoun United FC
Hartford Athletic3-0Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC2-0Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic0-2Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC3-0Hartford Athletic
Loudoun United FC2-1Hartford Athletic

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hartford Athletic (rating 1466 vs 1521).
H2H favours Loudoun United FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loudoun United FC	Hartford Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.58 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.47▲	Pinn 3.47
2	2.54 → 2.84▲	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:27	2.58	3.40	2.54
06:26	2.34▼	3.53▲	2.82▲
07:23 +1’	2.35▲	3.47▼	2.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loudoun United FC 4–1–1 Hartford Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	0-0 HT 0-0	Loudoun United FC
21/06/25 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	3-0 HT 2-0	Loudoun United FC
05/04/25 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Hartford Athletic
06/10/24 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	0-2 HT 0-0	Loudoun United FC
04/07/24 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Hartford Athletic
04/07/23 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Hartford Athletic

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	16	9	5	2	25	13	32
2	Charleston Battery	16	8	3	5	31	22	27
3	Detroit City FC	15	8	3	4	23	14	27
4	Louisville City FC	16	7	3	6	26	25	24
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
6	Miami FC	17	5	6	6	20	26	21
7	Indy Eleven	14	6	3	5	18	16	21
8	Rhode Island FC	14	5	4	5	24	18	19
9	Hartford Athletic	15	4	7	4	12	14	19
10	Birmingham Legion FC	15	2	8	5	16	19	14
11	Brooklyn FC	15	3	4	8	17	26	13
12	Loudoun United FC	15	1	9	5	18	29	12
13	Sporting JAX	17	1	5	11	23	44	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loudoun United FC	Hartford Athletic
Tampa Bay Rowdies	1-1 D	1-0 W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-2 L	0-0 D
Rhode Island FC	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hartford Athletic (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Loudoun United FC

LWLLDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
04/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
25/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
21/06	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
14/06	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
11/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup	0-1	1-3	9	5	L
07/06	Richmond Kickers USA USL Cup	0-0	2-0	5	8	W
31/05	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-4	5	3	L

Hartford Athletic

WLDWWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
12/07	Westchester SC USA USL Cup	2-1	2-1	9	4	W
09/07	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	17	3	D
05/07	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
21/06	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
14/06	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
07/06	New York Cosmos USA USL Cup	3-0	4-1	6	8	W
31/05	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
23/05	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	5	9	L
17/05	Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup	0-0	2-0	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loudoun United FC win (35%). Probabilities: Loudoun United FC 35%, draw 31%, Hartford Athletic 35%.

How many goals are expected in Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Loudoun United FC 1.18 · Hartford Athletic 1.18), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.