Football · USA USL Championship · 02/08, 01:00

Prediction: Miami FC vs Detroit City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Miami FC1.35

Detroit City FC1.37

1X2

35% 28% 36%

Miami FC Draw Detroit City FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Miami FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDWWLL

Detroit City FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDWWWL

Head-to-head

Miami FC 0–6 Detroit City FC (6 last)

Detroit City FC2-1Miami FC
Detroit City FC2-0Miami FC
Miami FC0-2Detroit City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Detroit City FC (rating 1481 vs 1539).
H2H favours Detroit City FC: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miami FC	Detroit City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	6.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.66 → 3.71▲	Pinn 3.71
X	3.53 → 3.57▲	Pinn 3.57
2	1.91 → 1.93▲	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:41	3.66	3.53	1.91
02:40	3.71▲	3.57▲	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Miami FC 0–0–6 Detroit City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Miami FC
21/06/25 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Miami FC
09/03/25 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Detroit City FC
19/10/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Miami FC
30/06/24 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Detroit City FC
10/09/23 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Miami FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	16	9	5	2	25	13	32
2	Charleston Battery	16	8	3	5	31	22	27
3	Detroit City FC	15	8	3	4	23	14	27
4	Louisville City FC	16	7	3	6	26	25	24
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
6	Miami FC	17	5	6	6	20	26	21
7	Indy Eleven	14	6	3	5	18	16	21
8	Rhode Island FC	14	5	4	5	24	18	19
9	Hartford Athletic	15	4	7	4	12	14	19
10	Birmingham Legion FC	15	2	8	5	16	19	14
11	Brooklyn FC	15	3	4	8	17	26	13
12	Loudoun United FC	15	1	9	5	18	29	12
13	Sporting JAX	17	1	5	11	23	44	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miami FC	Detroit City FC
Indy Eleven	2-0 W	2-0 W
Birmingham Legion FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Louisville City FC	4-3 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Miami FC

LWLDLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-2	2-3	3	10	L
23/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
12/07	Sarasota Paradise USA USL Cup	3-0	5-0	5	3	W
06/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/06	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-4	8	4	L
14/06	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
31/05	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
24/05	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	2-1	4-3	0	6	W
21/05	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	5	9	L

Detroit City FC

DLDDWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
12/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
20/06	Louisville City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
07/06	Lexington SC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
31/05	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	6	7	L
24/05	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miami FC vs Detroit City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Detroit City FC win (36%). Probabilities: Miami FC 35%, draw 28%, Detroit City FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Miami FC vs Detroit City FC?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Miami FC 1.35 · Detroit City FC 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Miami FC vs Detroit City FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.