Football · USA USL Championship · 06/09, 01:00

Prediction: Detroit City FC vs Hartford Athletic

Team pages: Detroit City FC · Hartford Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Detroit City FC1.42

Hartford Athletic0.78

1X2

52% 28% 20%

Detroit City FC Draw Hartford Athletic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Detroit City FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWDWD

Hartford Athletic 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Detroit City FC 0–3–3 Hartford Athletic (6 last)

Hartford Athletic2-1Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC1-2Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic2-2Detroit City FC
Hartford Athletic0-0Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC1-1Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic1-0Detroit City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Detroit City FC 1556 · Hartford Athletic 1533

	Detroit City FC	Draw	Hartford Athletic
Our model	51%	30%	20%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hartford Athletic: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Detroit City FC	Hartford Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.40

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +2’	1.70	3.40	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Detroit City FC 0–3–3 Hartford Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	2-1 HT 0-0	Detroit City FC
13/07/25 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Hartford Athletic
29/06/25 USA USL Cup	Hartford Athletic	2-2 HT 2-1	Detroit City FC
11/05/25 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	0-0 HT 0-0	Detroit City FC
01/09/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Hartford Athletic
01/08/24 USA USL Championship	Hartford Athletic	1-0 HT 1-0	Detroit City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	22	13	6	3	38	20	45
2	Charleston Battery	22	12	3	7	46	27	39
3	Detroit City FC	21	10	6	5	27	17	36
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	23	10	4	9	25	23	34
5	Louisville City FC	22	9	5	8	37	36	32
6	Indy Eleven	20	8	4	8	24	24	28
7	Rhode Island FC	20	8	4	8	30	23	28
8	Hartford Athletic	20	6	9	5	18	20	27
9	Miami FC	22	5	7	10	25	39	22
10	Loudoun United FC	21	3	11	7	22	34	20
11	Birmingham Legion FC	20	3	8	9	24	30	17
12	Brooklyn FC	20	4	4	12	22	36	16
13	Sporting JAX	22	2	5	15	27	58	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Detroit City FC	Hartford Athletic
Louisville City FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Tampa Bay Rowdies	1-0 W	1-0 W
Loudoun United FC	0-0 D	0-2 L
Miami FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Indy Eleven	2-0 W	1-1 D
Birmingham Legion FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Detroit City FC

DWWWLDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
02/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D

Hartford Athletic

WDLDLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-2	3-2	6	6	W
16/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
09/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
02/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
26/07	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
19/07	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
09/07	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	17	3	D
05/07	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
21/06	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
14/06	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Detroit City FC vs Hartford Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Detroit City FC win (52%). Probabilities: Detroit City FC 52%, draw 28%, Hartford Athletic 20%.

How many goals are expected in Detroit City FC vs Hartford Athletic?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Detroit City FC 1.42 · Hartford Athletic 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Detroit City FC vs Hartford Athletic?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.