Football · USA USL Championship · 06/09, 01:00
Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC
Team pages: Indy Eleven · Birmingham Legion FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Indy Eleven1.7
Birmingham Legion FC1.09
1X2
Indy Eleven
Draw
Birmingham Legion FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Indy Eleven
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Birmingham Legion FC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Indy Eleven
4–2–0
Birmingham Legion FC
(6 last)
- Birmingham Legion FC2-2Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven2-1Birmingham Legion FC
- Indy Eleven1-1Birmingham Legion FC
- Birmingham Legion FC0-1Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven3-2Birmingham Legion FC
- Birmingham Legion FC0-1Indy Eleven
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Birmingham Legion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 4–2–0 Birmingham Legion FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 21/09/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 29/06/25 USA USL Cup | Indy Eleven | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 05/06/25 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Indy Eleven |
| 20/10/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 10/06/24 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 45 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 36 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 34 |
| 5 | Louisville City FC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 32 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 28 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 28 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 27 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 22 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 17 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 36 | 16 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 58 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Birmingham Legion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Louisville City FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sporting JAX | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Loudoun United FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Detroit City FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Miami FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Birmingham Legion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 06/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 03/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Indy Eleven win (50%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 50%, draw 26%, Birmingham Legion FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Indy Eleven 1.7 · Birmingham Legion FC 1.09), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.