Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 01:00

Prediction: Brooklyn FC vs Tulsa

Team pages: Brooklyn FC · Tulsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Brooklyn FC1.12

Tulsa1.16

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Brooklyn FC Draw Tulsa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Brooklyn FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWLD

Tulsa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brooklyn FC 1461 · Tulsa 1518

	Brooklyn FC	Draw	Tulsa
Our model	33%	31%	36%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tulsa (rating 1461 vs 1518).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brooklyn FC	Tulsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +3’	2.55	3.25	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	24	13	4	7	41	30	43
2	New Mexico United	22	12	5	5	33	23	41
3	Colorado Switchbacks FC	24	11	4	9	40	37	37
4	Tulsa	23	10	6	7	27	21	36
5	Sacramento Republic	23	9	9	5	30	20	36
6	Orange County SC	24	9	9	6	34	34	36
7	San Antonio FC	24	9	9	6	29	28	36
8	Lexington SC	24	10	4	10	37	30	34
9	Phoenix Rising FC	24	8	9	7	34	32	33
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	24	9	5	10	31	34	32
11	Oakland Roots	24	6	9	9	29	35	27
12	Monterey Bay FC	24	4	6	14	25	42	18

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brooklyn FC	Tulsa
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-1 L	1-0 W
San Antonio FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tulsa (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brooklyn FC

LWDLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
23/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
02/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-5	6	7	L
26/07	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
19/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	3	4	D
05/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
21/06	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	5	3	L

Tulsa

WDWWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
06/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
30/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-1	4	6	W
16/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
09/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brooklyn FC vs Tulsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tulsa win (37%). Probabilities: Brooklyn FC 34%, draw 29%, Tulsa 37%.

How many goals are expected in Brooklyn FC vs Tulsa?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Brooklyn FC 1.12 · Tulsa 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brooklyn FC vs Tulsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.