Football · USA USL Championship · 27/09, 02:30

Prediction: San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

Team pages: San Antonio FC · Tampa Bay Rowdies

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

San Antonio FC1.15

Tampa Bay Rowdies1.21

1X2

33% 31% 36%

San Antonio FC Draw Tampa Bay Rowdies

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDLLWDL

Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC 2–3–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies (6 last)

San Antonio FC1-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies2-2San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC3-3Tampa Bay Rowdies
San Antonio FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies2-0San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC3-0Tampa Bay Rowdies

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampa Bay Rowdies (rating 1489 vs 1552).
H2H favours San Antonio FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.99

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.04 → 3.04	Pinn 3.04
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.30
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +63’	3.04	3.30	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 2–3–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies
17/03/24 USA USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2-2 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC
17/09/23 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	3-3 HT 1-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies
08/10/17 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies
20/09/15 USA NASL	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
12/07/15 USA NASL	San Antonio FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Tampa Bay Rowdies

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	25	14	4	7	44	31	46
2	New Mexico United	24	12	7	5	37	27	43
3	Colorado Switchbacks FC	25	11	5	9	40	37	38
4	Lexington SC	25	11	4	10	43	30	37
5	Tulsa	24	10	7	7	29	23	37
6	Orange County SC	25	9	9	7	34	40	36
7	Sacramento Republic	23	9	9	5	30	20	36
8	San Antonio FC	24	9	9	6	29	28	36
9	Las Vegas Lights FC	25	9	6	10	32	35	33
10	Phoenix Rising FC	25	8	9	8	35	35	33
11	Oakland Roots	24	6	9	9	29	35	27
12	Monterey Bay FC	25	4	6	15	25	43	18

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Louisville City FC	1-1 D	5-4 W
Brooklyn FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tampa Bay Rowdies (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC

DLWWDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
06/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
30/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
23/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
16/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-3	0-3	2	6	L
09/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
26/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
19/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
05/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	2	8	D

Tampa Bay Rowdies

DWWWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
13/09	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-1	1-3	5	10	L
06/09	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
29/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
16/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
09/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
02/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-3	5-4	5	1	W
26/07	Miami FC USA USL Championship	2-1	3-2	3	9	W
19/07	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampa Bay Rowdies win (36%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 33%, draw 31%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 36%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

The model expects 2.36 goals (San Antonio FC 1.15 · Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.21), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.