Football · USA USL Championship · 27/09, 04:00
Prediction: Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Team pages: Orange County SC · Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Orange County SC1.15
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.28
1X2
Orange County SC
Draw
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Orange County SC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orange County SC
2–2–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
(4 last)
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds1-1Orange County SC
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds0-2Orange County SC
- Orange County SC1-0Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds1-1Orange County SC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds (rating 1429 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Orange County SC: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orange County SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orange County SC 2–2–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/25 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Orange County SC |
| 17/03/24 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orange County SC |
| 17/08/23 USA USL Championship | Orange County SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
| 25/09/22 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Orange County SC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington SC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 37 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 40 | 36 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 36 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 43 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orange County SC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Oakland Roots | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Tulsa | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orange County SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-4 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 02/08 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (38%). Probabilities: Orange County SC 32%, draw 30%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 38%.
How many goals are expected in Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Orange County SC 1.15 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.