Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 01:00

Prediction: Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay FC

Team pages: Charleston Battery · Monterey Bay FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Charleston Battery2.26

Monterey Bay FC1.3

1X2

58% 21% 20%

Charleston Battery Draw Monterey Bay FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Charleston Battery 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Monterey Bay FC 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Charleston Battery 1–1–0 Monterey Bay FC (2 last)

Monterey Bay FC0-0Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery1-0Monterey Bay FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charleston Battery (rating 1512 vs 1423).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charleston Battery	Monterey Bay FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.78

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.41▲	Pinn 1.41
X	5.19 → 4.92▼	Pinn 4.92
2	6.67 → 6.06▼	Pinn 6.06

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:21 +12’	1.34	5.19	6.67
13:56 +5’	1.41▲	4.97▼	6.08▼
14:17 +183’	1.41▲	4.92▼	6.06▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Charleston Battery 1–1–0 Monterey Bay FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/24 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Charleston Battery
20/05/23 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	1-0 HT 1-0	Monterey Bay FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	24	13	4	7	41	30	43
2	New Mexico United	22	12	5	5	33	23	41
3	Colorado Switchbacks FC	24	11	4	9	40	37	37
4	Tulsa	23	10	6	7	27	21	36
5	Sacramento Republic	23	9	9	5	30	20	36
6	Orange County SC	24	9	9	6	34	34	36
7	San Antonio FC	24	9	9	6	29	28	36
8	Lexington SC	24	10	4	10	37	30	34
9	Phoenix Rising FC	24	8	9	7	34	32	33
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	24	9	5	10	31	34	32
11	Oakland Roots	24	6	9	9	29	35	27
12	Monterey Bay FC	24	4	6	14	25	42	18

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charleston Battery

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-2	2-2	6	3	D
03/09	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
30/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
25/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	2	5	W
16/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-2	1-3	3	8	L
09/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
02/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
26/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
19/07	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
04/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	4	5	L

Monterey Bay FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
23/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	3	8	L
16/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
09/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-1	2-5	12	3	L
06/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
02/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	2-2	2-3	5	4	L
26/07	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
19/07	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
05/07	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charleston Battery win (58%). Probabilities: Charleston Battery 58%, draw 21%, Monterey Bay FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay FC?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Charleston Battery 2.26 · Monterey Bay FC 1.3), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Charleston Battery vs Monterey Bay FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.