Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 01:00
Prediction: Louisville City FC vs Loudoun United FC
Team pages: Louisville City FC · Loudoun United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Louisville City FC1.85
Loudoun United FC1.27
1X2
Louisville City FC
Draw
Loudoun United FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Louisville City FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Loudoun United FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Louisville City FC
4–1–1
Loudoun United FC
(6 last)
- Loudoun United FC3-3Louisville City FC
- Loudoun United FC1-4Louisville City FC
- Loudoun United FC2-1Louisville City FC
- Louisville City FC2-1Loudoun United FC
- Louisville City FC2-0Loudoun United FC
- Louisville City FC1-0Loudoun United FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Louisville City FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Louisville City FC | Loudoun United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.1 | 1.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Louisville City FC 4–1–1 Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Louisville City FC |
| 26/06/25 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 01/06/25 USA USL Cup | Loudoun United FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 16/04/25 USA US Open Cup | Louisville City FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 22/03/25 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 07/09/24 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Loudoun United FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City FC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 33 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 24 | 32 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 63 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Louisville City FC | Loudoun United FC |
|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Detroit City FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Indy Eleven | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 4-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Loudoun United FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louisville City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louisville City FC vs Loudoun United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Louisville City FC win (50%). Probabilities: Louisville City FC 50%, draw 25%, Loudoun United FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Louisville City FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Louisville City FC 1.85 · Loudoun United FC 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Louisville City FC vs Loudoun United FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.