Football · USA USL Championship · 23/09, 18:00

Prediction: Birmingham Legion FC vs Brooklyn FC

Team pages: Birmingham Legion FC · Brooklyn FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Birmingham Legion FC2.07

Brooklyn FC1.6

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Birmingham Legion FC Draw Brooklyn FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Birmingham Legion FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Brooklyn FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Birmingham Legion FC	Brooklyn FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.99

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.06▲	Pinn 4.06
2	3.62 → 3.93▲	Pinn 3.93

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:45 +8’	1.80	4.00	3.62
03:23 +2’	1.79▼	4.03▲	3.82▲
05:11 +4’	1.74▼	4.10▲	3.96▲
11:58 +105’	1.75▲	4.06▼	3.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	25	15	6	4	45	23	51
2	Charleston Battery	25	13	4	8	50	31	43
3	Detroit City FC	24	11	7	6	29	19	40
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	26	11	5	10	28	26	38
5	Hartford Athletic	25	9	11	5	27	24	38
6	Louisville City FC	25	10	6	9	41	40	36
7	Indy Eleven	23	9	6	8	32	28	33
8	Rhode Island FC	23	9	5	9	35	26	32
9	Miami FC	25	6	9	10	30	43	27
10	Birmingham Legion FC	24	3	11	10	32	42	20
11	Loudoun United FC	24	3	11	10	27	42	20
12	Brooklyn FC	24	4	6	14	25	45	18
13	Sporting JAX	25	3	5	17	30	65	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Birmingham Legion FC	Brooklyn FC
Charleston Battery	2-2 D	0-5 L
Indy Eleven	2-2 D	0-4 L
Sporting JAX	2-3 L	4-1 W
Miami FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Birmingham Legion FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Birmingham Legion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-2	4-4	9	5	D
13/09	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	2-2	2-2	1	3	D
06/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
30/08	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	2-2	2-3	5	6	L
23/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-0	2-3	5	2	L
16/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-3	0	5	L
03/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/07	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
06/07	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
03/07	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-2	5	8	L

Brooklyn FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
16/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
13/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
23/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
02/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-5	6	7	L
26/07	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
19/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Birmingham Legion FC vs Brooklyn FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Birmingham Legion FC win (48%). Probabilities: Birmingham Legion FC 48%, draw 23%, Brooklyn FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Birmingham Legion FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Birmingham Legion FC 2.07 · Brooklyn FC 1.6), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Birmingham Legion FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.