Football · USA USL Championship · 26/09, 03:00
Prediction: El Paso Locomotive FC vs Tulsa
Team pages: El Paso Locomotive FC · Tulsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
El Paso Locomotive FC1.57
Tulsa0.85
1X2
El Paso Locomotive FC
Draw
Tulsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
El Paso Locomotive FC
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Tulsa
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Paso Locomotive FC
1–2–3
Tulsa
(6 last)
- Tulsa1-0El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC1-4Tulsa
- El Paso Locomotive FC1-1Tulsa
- Tulsa1-1El Paso Locomotive FC
- Tulsa0-1El Paso Locomotive FC
- El Paso Locomotive FC0-1Tulsa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Paso Locomotive FC (rating 1584 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Tulsa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Paso Locomotive FC | Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Paso Locomotive FC 1–2–3 Tulsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 30/04/26 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Tulsa |
| 19/10/25 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tulsa |
| 11/05/25 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 06/10/24 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | El Paso Locomotive FC |
| 28/04/24 USA USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tulsa |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington SC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 37 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 40 | 36 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 36 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 43 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Paso Locomotive FC | Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| San Antonio FC | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Orange County SC | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: El Paso Locomotive FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Paso Locomotive FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Tulsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Tulsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Paso Locomotive FC win (53%). Probabilities: El Paso Locomotive FC 53%, draw 28%, Tulsa 19%.
How many goals are expected in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Tulsa?
The model expects 2.43 goals (El Paso Locomotive FC 1.57 · Tulsa 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Tulsa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.