Football · USA USL Championship · 27/09, 01:00
Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
Team pages: Indy Eleven · Miami FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Indy Eleven1.78
Miami FC1.24
1X2
Indy Eleven
Draw
Miami FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Indy Eleven
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Miami FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Indy Eleven
4–1–1
Miami FC
(6 last)
- Miami FC2-0Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven3-2Miami FC
- Indy Eleven0-0Miami FC
- Miami FC1-3Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven4-0Miami FC
- Miami FC1-3Indy Eleven
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 0.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 4–1–1 Miami FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Miami FC |
| 17/04/25 USA US Open Cup | Indy Eleven | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 16/03/25 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Indy Eleven |
| 29/09/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 13/05/24 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City FC | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island FC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 42 | 20 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 45 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 65 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn FC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Detroit City FC | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Indy Eleven (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Miami FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/07 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Indy Eleven win (49%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 49%, draw 25%, Miami FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Indy Eleven 1.78 · Miami FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.