Football · USA USL Championship · 26/09, 01:30

Prediction: Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United FC

Team pages: Sporting JAX · Loudoun United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Sporting JAX1.69

Loudoun United FC1.38

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Sporting JAX Draw Loudoun United FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting JAX 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Loudoun United FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sporting JAX 0–1–0 Loudoun United FC (1 last)

Loudoun United FC2-2Sporting JAX

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting JAX	Loudoun United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.6	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.99 → 2.67▼	Pinn 2.67
X	3.78 → 3.84▲	Pinn 3.84
2	2.09 → 2.32▲	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +45’	2.99	3.78	2.09
02:16 +72’	3.02▲	3.83▲	2.10▲
08:42 +56’	2.67▼	3.84▲	2.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX 0–1–0 Loudoun United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Sporting JAX

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	25	15	6	4	45	23	51
2	Charleston Battery	25	13	4	8	50	31	43
3	Detroit City FC	24	11	7	6	29	19	40
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	26	11	5	10	28	26	38
5	Hartford Athletic	25	9	11	5	27	24	38
6	Louisville City FC	25	10	6	9	41	40	36
7	Indy Eleven	23	9	6	8	32	28	33
8	Rhode Island FC	23	9	5	9	35	26	32
9	Miami FC	25	6	9	10	30	43	27
10	Birmingham Legion FC	24	3	11	10	32	42	20
11	Loudoun United FC	24	3	11	10	27	42	20
12	Brooklyn FC	24	4	6	14	25	45	18
13	Sporting JAX	25	3	5	17	30	65	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting JAX	Loudoun United FC
Hartford Athletic	0-2 L	2-0 W
Indy Eleven	0-1 L	1-0 W
El Paso Locomotive FC	0-2 L	1-4 L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting JAX

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
13/09	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
06/09	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	1-0	3-2	2	2	W
30/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
23/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	3-2	5	2	W
16/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
02/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-4	0-5	0	5	L
26/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
19/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
16/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	1	2	W

Loudoun United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
13/09	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
05/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	4-5	4	4	L
30/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
23/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
02/08	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting JAX win (44%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX 44%, draw 26%, Loudoun United FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United FC?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Sporting JAX 1.69 · Loudoun United FC 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.