Football · USA USL Championship · 18/10, 01:00

Prediction: Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn FC

Team pages: Hartford Athletic · Brooklyn FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Hartford Athletic2.44

Brooklyn FC0.98

1X2

69% 17% 13%

Hartford Athletic Draw Brooklyn FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hartford Athletic 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Brooklyn FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hartford Athletic 2–0 Brooklyn FC (2 last)

Brooklyn FC0-2Hartford Athletic
Brooklyn FC1-2Hartford Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hartford Athletic 1554 · Brooklyn FC 1388

	Hartford Athletic	Draw	Brooklyn FC
Our model	69%	19%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hartford Athletic (rating 1554 vs 1388).
H2H favours Hartford Athletic: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hartford Athletic	Brooklyn FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +28’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartford Athletic 2–0–0 Brooklyn FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 USA USL Cup	Brooklyn FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Hartford Athletic
22/03/26 USA USL Championship	Brooklyn FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Hartford Athletic

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	28	16	7	5	49	26	55
2	Detroit City FC	28	14	8	6	34	20	50
3	Charleston Battery	27	14	4	9	52	33	46
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	28	12	5	11	30	28	41
5	Louisville City FC	27	11	7	9	45	42	40
6	Hartford Athletic	27	9	12	6	30	28	39
7	Rhode Island FC	27	11	5	11	39	30	38
8	Miami FC	29	9	9	11	38	47	36
9	Indy Eleven	28	9	7	12	34	36	34
10	Loudoun United FC	27	5	12	10	34	44	27
11	Birmingham Legion FC	26	4	11	11	36	43	23
12	Brooklyn FC	27	4	6	17	27	55	18
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	32	73	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hartford Athletic	Brooklyn FC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1-2 L	0-1 L
Las Vegas Lights FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sporting JAX	2-0 W	4-1 W
Tampa Bay Rowdies	3-1 W	0-2 L
Detroit City FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
Birmingham Legion FC	3-2 W	0-4 L
Miami FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Indy Eleven	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Hartford Athletic (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hartford Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
26/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
20/09	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
17/09	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
13/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	1	10	W
06/09	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
03/09	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
30/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-2	3-2	6	6	W
16/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
09/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	9	5	D

Brooklyn FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
01/10	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
23/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-4	4	1	L
20/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
16/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
13/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
23/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hartford Athletic win (69%). Probabilities: Hartford Athletic 69%, draw 17%, Brooklyn FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn FC?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Hartford Athletic 2.44 · Brooklyn FC 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.