Football · USA USL Championship · 25/10, 02:00

Prediction: Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Tulsa

Team pages: Colorado Switchbacks FC · Tulsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Colorado Switchbacks FC1.62

Tulsa0.76

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Colorado Switchbacks FC Draw Tulsa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Switchbacks FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDDDDW

Tulsa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDWDDL

Head-to-head

Colorado Switchbacks FC 4–1–1 Tulsa (6 last)

Tulsa1-2Colorado Switchbacks FC
Tulsa0-0Colorado Switchbacks FC
Tulsa3-0Colorado Switchbacks FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC2-0Tulsa
Tulsa1-4Colorado Switchbacks FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC1-0Tulsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1525 · Tulsa 1511

	Colorado Switchbacks FC	Draw	Tulsa
Our model	57%	27%	16%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Colorado Switchbacks FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Switchbacks FC	Tulsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	1.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.53▼	Pinn 1.54
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Pinn 4.03
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.50 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +13’	1.57	3.75	4.75
02:08 +10’	1.53▼	3.80▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:26 +589’	1.54	4.03	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Switchbacks FC 4–1–1 Tulsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-2 HT 1-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
02/11/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-0 HT 0-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
26/10/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	3-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Switchbacks FC
31/08/25 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Tulsa
02/09/24 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-4 HT 0-3	Colorado Switchbacks FC
05/07/24 USA USL Championship	Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Tulsa

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	29	15	5	9	48	37	50
2	New Mexico United	29	14	7	8	44	34	49
3	Sacramento Republic	29	12	12	5	39	26	48
4	Lexington SC	29	14	5	10	54	36	47
5	Colorado Switchbacks FC	29	12	8	9	42	38	44
6	Tulsa	29	11	10	8	34	29	43
7	San Antonio FC	29	10	12	7	30	29	42
8	Phoenix Rising FC	29	10	9	10	42	43	39
9	Orange County SC	29	10	9	10	38	47	39
10	Oakland Roots	29	9	11	9	37	37	38
11	Las Vegas Lights FC	29	10	6	13	40	46	36
12	Monterey Bay FC	29	5	6	18	30	51	21

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Switchbacks FC	Tulsa
Sacramento Republic	1-1 D	1-1 D
Oakland Roots	0-0 D	2-4 L
New Mexico United	0-0 D	1-0 W
San Antonio FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Lexington SC	1-0 W	0-0 D
El Paso Locomotive FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Phoenix Rising FC	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Switchbacks FC

LLWWWDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/10	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
04/10	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/09	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
20/09	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
12/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-1	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
23/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
20/08	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	2	4	L

Tulsa

WWDLDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	1-1	2-4	4	0	L
10/10	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
04/10	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
01/10	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
26/09	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	3	8	D
20/09	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
13/09	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
06/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
30/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Tulsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Switchbacks FC win (58%). Probabilities: Colorado Switchbacks FC 58%, draw 25%, Tulsa 17%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Tulsa?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.62 · Tulsa 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Tulsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.