Football · USA USL Championship · 18/10, 01:00

Prediction: Miami FC vs Charleston Battery

Team pages: Miami FC · Charleston Battery

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Miami FC1.35

Charleston Battery1.62

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Miami FC Draw Charleston Battery

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Miami FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWWWL

Charleston Battery 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Miami FC 2–4 Charleston Battery (6 last)

Charleston Battery5-0Miami FC
Charleston Battery3-0Miami FC
Miami FC1-0Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery2-0Miami FC
Miami FC1-2Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery1-2Miami FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miami FC 1499 · Charleston Battery 1528

	Miami FC	Draw	Charleston Battery
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Charleston Battery: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miami FC	Charleston Battery
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 2.7	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +8’	2.88	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miami FC 2–0–4 Charleston Battery

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/08/26 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	5-0 HT 2-0	Miami FC
20/07/25 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	3-0 HT 2-0	Miami FC
19/06/25 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Charleston Battery
20/07/24 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	2-0 HT 0-0	Miami FC
31/03/24 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Charleston Battery
08/10/23 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	1-2 HT 1-0	Miami FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	28	16	7	5	49	26	55
2	Detroit City FC	28	14	8	6	34	20	50
3	Charleston Battery	27	14	4	9	52	33	46
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	28	12	5	11	30	28	41
5	Louisville City FC	27	11	7	9	45	42	40
6	Hartford Athletic	27	9	12	6	30	28	39
7	Rhode Island FC	27	11	5	11	39	30	38
8	Miami FC	29	9	9	11	38	47	36
9	Indy Eleven	28	9	7	12	34	36	34
10	Loudoun United FC	27	5	12	10	34	44	27
11	Birmingham Legion FC	26	4	11	11	36	43	23
12	Brooklyn FC	27	4	6	17	27	55	18
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	32	73	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miami FC	Charleston Battery
Loudoun United FC	0-2 L	1-0 W
Rhode Island FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Brooklyn FC	1-1 D	5-0 W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-2 D	1-3 L
Hartford Athletic	1-2 L	1-2 L
Las Vegas Lights FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Charleston Battery (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miami FC

LLLDDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
04/10	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
01/10	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
27/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
20/09	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	0	7	W
13/09	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
06/09	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-5	0	5	L
16/08	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
09/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Charleston Battery

WWLWWLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
27/09	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
20/09	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	2-2	2-2	6	3	D
03/09	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
30/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
25/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	2	5	W
16/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-2	1-3	3	7	L
09/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
02/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Charleston Battery win (43%). Probabilities: Miami FC 31%, draw 26%, Charleston Battery 43%.

How many goals are expected in Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Miami FC 1.35 · Charleston Battery 1.62), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.