Football · USA USL Championship · 18/10, 01:30
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC
Team pages: Tampa Bay Rowdies · Detroit City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.06
Detroit City FC0.83
1X2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Draw
Detroit City FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Tampa Bay Rowdies
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Detroit City FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3–3
Detroit City FC
(6 last)
- Detroit City FC1-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies1-1Detroit City FC
- Detroit City FC2-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Detroit City FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies2-3Detroit City FC
- Detroit City FC1-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Detroit City FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–3–3 Detroit City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 26/10/25 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Detroit City FC |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 03/11/24 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 22/08/24 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Detroit City FC |
| 07/07/24 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City FC | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Detroit City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion FC | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Brooklyn FC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Rhode Island FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Louisville City FC | 5-4 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampa Bay Rowdies (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 1 | W |
Detroit City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/10 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win (39%). Probabilities: Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%, draw 34%, Detroit City FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.06 · Detroit City FC 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.