Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs Central Ballester
Expected goals: 1.9 (Leones de Rosario 1.39 · Central Ballester 0.51). The model gives 59% home, 28% draw, 13% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Leones de Rosario is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Central Ballester 1-3-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Leones de Rosario won 0 and Central Ballester 0, with 1 draw.
| Leones de Rosario | Draw | Central Ballester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 30% | 12% |
| Market | 59% | 27% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1540 vs 1430).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leones de Rosario | Central Ballester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 0–1–0 Central Ballester
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leones de Rosario |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Lujan | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | General Lamadrid | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 24 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 23 |
| 9 | CA Claypole | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | CA Atlas | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Fenix | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leones de Rosario | Central Ballester |
|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Yupanqui | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Atlas | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Canuelas FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leones de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
Central Ballester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs Central Ballester?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (59%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 59%, draw 28%, Central Ballester 13%.
How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Central Ballester?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.39 · Central Ballester 0.51), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs Central Ballester?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.