Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Leones de Rosario

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Leones de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.69Total

Deportivo Espanol0.93

Leones de Rosario0.76

1X2

37% 36% 27%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Leones de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDLWW

Leones de Rosario 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLDLD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 0–1–0 Leones de Rosario (1 last)

Leones de Rosario1-1Deportivo Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1558 · Leones de Rosario 1492

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Leones de Rosario
Our model	37%	37%	27%
Market	37%	36%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1558 vs 1492).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Leones de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.40▲	Bet365 2.40
X	2.70 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
2	3.30 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +17’	2.20	2.70	3.30
20:13 +1’	2.40▲	2.50▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 0–1–0 Leones de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Leones de Rosario	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	20	10	6	4	25	15	36
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	21	7	10	4	18	14	31
4	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
5	Leones de Rosario	20	7	8	5	19	19	29
6	General Lamadrid	21	7	8	6	18	20	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
9	CA Atlas	20	6	7	7	16	18	25
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	20	5	8	7	14	15	23
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	CA Claypole	20	5	7	8	15	23	22
13	Deportivo Muniz	21	4	9	8	15	20	21
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Espanol	Leones de Rosario
Central Cordoba de Rosario	1-0 W	0-2 L
CA Claypole	1-0 W	1-1 D
Central Ballester	0-0 D	0-1 L
El Porvenir	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Espanol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Espanol

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
11/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
06/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
27/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	9	8	W
13/06	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/06	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
23/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
18/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

Leones de Rosario

WLWWWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Newell's Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-1	4	12	D
25/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
13/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
25/06	Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
15/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
23/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	11	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 37%, draw 36%, Leones de Rosario 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

The model expects 1.69 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.93 · Leones de Rosario 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Leones de Rosario?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.