Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 18/09, 23:30
Prediction: Defensores de Cambaceres vs JJ Urquiza
Team pages: Defensores de Cambaceres · JJ Urquiza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.67Total
Defensores de Cambaceres0.92
JJ Urquiza0.74
1X2
Defensores de Cambaceres
Draw
JJ Urquiza
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Cambaceres
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
JJ Urquiza
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Cambaceres
1–1–4
JJ Urquiza
(6 last)
- JJ Urquiza0-1Defensores de Cambaceres
- JJ Urquiza2-1Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres1-2JJ Urquiza
- JJ Urquiza1-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-0JJ Urquiza
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-1JJ Urquiza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Cambaceres 1521 · JJ Urquiza 1489
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Draw | JJ Urquiza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 37% | 27% |
| Market | 39% | 32% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.67 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours JJ Urquiza: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Cambaceres | JJ Urquiza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.4 | 1.6 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.9 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Cambaceres 1–1–4 JJ Urquiza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-2 HT 1-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 26/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 27/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 03/04/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-1 HT 0-1 | JJ Urquiza |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 22 | 46 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | CA Lugano | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Centro Espanol | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 40 |
| 6 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 38 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 38 |
| 8 | Club Mercedes | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 37 |
| 9 | Victoriano Arenas | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 37 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 28 | 36 |
| 11 | JJ Urquiza | 29 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 29 |
| 12 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 49 | 28 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 28 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 23 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Cambaceres | JJ Urquiza |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| General Lamadrid | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sacachispas | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: JJ Urquiza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 17/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
JJ Urquiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Cambaceres vs JJ Urquiza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Cambaceres win (38%). Probabilities: Defensores de Cambaceres 38%, draw 34%, JJ Urquiza 28%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Cambaceres vs JJ Urquiza?
The model expects 1.67 goals (Defensores de Cambaceres 0.92 · JJ Urquiza 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Cambaceres vs JJ Urquiza?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.