Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Puerto Nuevo vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Team pages: Puerto Nuevo · Defensores de Cambaceres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Puerto Nuevo1
Defensores de Cambaceres0.87
1X2
Puerto Nuevo
Draw
Defensores de Cambaceres
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Nuevo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Cambaceres
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Nuevo
1–1–4
Defensores de Cambaceres
(6 last)
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-0Puerto Nuevo
- Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Puerto Nuevo
- Puerto Nuevo1-2Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres3-2Puerto Nuevo
- Puerto Nuevo4-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres1-0Puerto Nuevo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Nuevo 1526 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1430
| Puerto Nuevo | Draw | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 37% | 32% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Nuevo (rating 1526 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Defensores de Cambaceres: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Nuevo | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 3.6 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 6.1 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Nuevo 1–1–4 Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 05/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 03/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 03/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 05/10/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Lugano | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Berazategui | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Mercedes | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 6 | Centro Espanol | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 35 |
| 7 | Victoriano Arenas | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 35 |
| 8 | Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 27 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 25 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 24 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 23 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Nuevo | Defensores de Cambaceres |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sacachispas | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Argentino de Rosario | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Berazategui | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Puerto Nuevo (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Nuevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 23/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Nuevo vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puerto Nuevo win (37%). Probabilities: Puerto Nuevo 37%, draw 33%, Defensores de Cambaceres 30%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Nuevo vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Puerto Nuevo 1 · Defensores de Cambaceres 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Nuevo vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.