Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Team pages: Canuelas FC · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
Canuelas FC0.96
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.75
1X2
Canuelas FC
Draw
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Canuelas FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canuelas FC
1–2
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
(3 last)
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0-2Canuelas FC
- Canuelas FC1-3Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-0Canuelas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1565 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1502
| Canuelas FC | Draw | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Market | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1565 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canuelas FC | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 1–0–2 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Canuelas FC |
| 03/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 30/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (38%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 38%, draw 35%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 27%.
How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Canuelas FC 0.96 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.