Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 11/09, 00:00

Prediction: Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol

Team pages: Club Mercedes · Deportivo Espanol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.58Total

Club Mercedes0.66

Deportivo Espanol0.91

1X2

25% 35% 40%

Club Mercedes Draw Deportivo Espanol

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 22%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Mercedes 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLLWLL

Deportivo Espanol 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDDDDWW

Head-to-head

Club Mercedes 1–1–4 Deportivo Espanol (6 last)

Deportivo Espanol1-0Club Mercedes
Deportivo Espanol2-1Club Mercedes
Club Mercedes0-0Deportivo Espanol
Club Mercedes3-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-0Club Mercedes
Deportivo Espanol1-0Club Mercedes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Mercedes 1475 · Deportivo Espanol 1553

	Club Mercedes	Draw	Deportivo Espanol
Our model	24%	38%	38%
Market	26%	33%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 1.58 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1475 vs 1553).
H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Mercedes	Deportivo Espanol
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X2.75

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.15 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +1’	3.40	2.75	2.15
01:56 +2’	3.40	2.75	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 1.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Mercedes 1–1–4 Deportivo Espanol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Mercedes
22/11/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	2-1 HT 2-1	Club Mercedes
14/11/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Mercedes	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
27/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Club Mercedes	3-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo Espanol
13/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Mercedes
07/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Mercedes

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	27	9	14	4	20	14	41
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	Sportivo Barracas	27	11	5	11	31	26	38
7	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
8	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
9	Central Ballester	27	9	7	11	26	27	34
10	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
11	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	27	6	8	13	19	35	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	27	4	10	13	17	32	22

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Mercedes	Deportivo Espanol
Sacachispas	2-0 W	0-0 D
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Mercedes

WDWWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
30/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
22/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
18/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
08/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
31/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
25/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
18/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
12/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
06/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	3	9	W

Deportivo Espanol

DLWWDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
07/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
11/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
06/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Espanol win (40%). Probabilities: Club Mercedes 25%, draw 35%, Deportivo Espanol 40%.

How many goals are expected in Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol?

The model expects 1.58 goals (Club Mercedes 0.66 · Deportivo Espanol 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Mercedes vs Deportivo Espanol?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.