Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: Berazategui vs Fenix

Team pages: Berazategui · Fenix

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Berazategui1.2

Fenix0.61

1X2

51% 31% 19%

Berazategui Draw Fenix

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Berazategui 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Fenix 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Berazategui 1–0 Fenix (1 last)

Fenix0-1Berazategui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Berazategui 1504 · Fenix 1506

	Berazategui	Draw	Fenix
Our model	49%	33%	18%
Market	52%	29%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Berazategui	Fenix
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.10

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:57 +5’	1.73	3.10	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 1–0–0 Fenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Fenix	0-1 HT 0-1	Berazategui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	23	12	6	5	31	18	42
2	Canuelas FC	23	10	9	4	25	16	39
3	Yupanqui	24	8	9	7	31	26	33
4	Deportivo Espanol	23	7	12	4	18	14	33
5	Sportivo Barracas	22	9	4	9	27	23	31
6	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	20	20	31
7	General Lamadrid	23	7	9	7	19	23	30
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	23	7	8	8	19	18	29
9	CA Atlas	23	7	8	8	19	21	29
10	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	17	21	26
11	Fenix	23	6	7	10	17	23	25
12	Central Ballester	22	6	5	11	20	27	23
13	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
14	CA Claypole	23	5	7	11	16	30	22

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Berazategui

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
04/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
25/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
11/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
05/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	9	8	L
28/06	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
15/06	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
08/06	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/06	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	5	L

Fenix

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
05/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
29/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	2	9	W
15/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
06/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Fenix?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Berazategui win (51%). Probabilities: Berazategui 51%, draw 31%, Fenix 19%.

How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Fenix?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Berazategui 1.2 · Fenix 0.61), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Fenix?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.