Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00
Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui
Team pages: JJ Urquiza · Berazategui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.55Total
JJ Urquiza0.62
Berazategui0.93
1X2
JJ Urquiza
Draw
Berazategui
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
JJ Urquiza
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Berazategui
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JJ Urquiza
1–1–4
Berazategui
(6 last)
- Berazategui1-1JJ Urquiza
- JJ Urquiza0-1Berazategui
- Berazategui1-0JJ Urquiza
- Berazategui2-0JJ Urquiza
- JJ Urquiza0-1Berazategui
- JJ Urquiza2-1Berazategui
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1464 · Berazategui 1508
| JJ Urquiza | Draw | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 38% | 40% |
| Market | 25% | 33% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.55 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1464 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Berazategui: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JJ Urquiza | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.6 | 5.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 1–1–4 Berazategui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 05/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 25/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 01/12/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 2-0 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 15/07/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Berazategui |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Club Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Centro Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 27 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 22 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JJ Urquiza | Berazategui |
|---|---|---|
| Club Mercedes | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Berazategui (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JJ Urquiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Berazategui win (41%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 24%, draw 35%, Berazategui 41%.
How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui?
The model expects 1.55 goals (JJ Urquiza 0.62 · Berazategui 0.93), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.