Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00
Prediction: Centro Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas
Team pages: Centro Espanol · Victoriano Arenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Centro Espanol1.28
Victoriano Arenas0.86
1X2
Centro Espanol
Draw
Victoriano Arenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Centro Espanol
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Victoriano Arenas
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Centro Espanol
3–2–1
Victoriano Arenas
(6 last)
- Victoriano Arenas0-0Centro Espanol
- Centro Espanol3-1Victoriano Arenas
- Victoriano Arenas0-1Centro Espanol
- Centro Espanol4-2Victoriano Arenas
- Victoriano Arenas3-1Centro Espanol
- Victoriano Arenas1-1Centro Espanol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Centro Espanol 1535 · Victoriano Arenas 1471
| Centro Espanol | Draw | Victoriano Arenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 32% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1535 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Centro Espanol: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Centro Espanol | Victoriano Arenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Centro Espanol 3–2–1 Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
| 06/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Centro Espanol |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Centro Espanol |
| 18/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Club Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Centro Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 27 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 22 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Centro Espanol | Victoriano Arenas |
|---|---|---|
| JJ Urquiza | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Mercedes | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Puerto Nuevo | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sacachispas | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Victoriano Arenas (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Centro Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Centro Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Centro Espanol win (45%). Probabilities: Centro Espanol 45%, draw 32%, Victoriano Arenas 24%.
How many goals are expected in Centro Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Centro Espanol 1.28 · Victoriano Arenas 0.86), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Centro Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.