Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Yupanqui vs Canuelas FC
Team pages: Yupanqui · Canuelas FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Yupanqui0.79
Canuelas FC1.11
1X2
Yupanqui
Draw
Canuelas FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Yupanqui
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Canuelas FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yupanqui
1–2–0
Canuelas FC
(3 last)
- Canuelas FC0-1Yupanqui
- Canuelas FC0-0Yupanqui
- Yupanqui1-1Canuelas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1499 · Canuelas FC 1539
| Yupanqui | Draw | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 34% | 42% |
| Market | 26% | 32% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1499 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yupanqui | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 1–2–0 Canuelas FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Yupanqui |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 20/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Canuelas FC |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 29 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 28 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 21 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 23 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
| 12 | CA Claypole | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 22 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yupanqui | Canuelas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Muniz | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Barracas | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Claypole | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs Canuelas FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Canuelas FC win (42%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 25%, draw 33%, Canuelas FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs Canuelas FC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Yupanqui 0.79 · Canuelas FC 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Canuelas FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.