Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Berazategui vs Club Mercedes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Berazategui1.41
Club Mercedes0.72
1X2
Berazategui
Draw
Club Mercedes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Berazategui
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Club Mercedes
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Berazategui
5–0
Club Mercedes
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berazategui 1546 · Club Mercedes 1506
| Berazategui | Draw | Club Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 30% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1546 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Berazategui: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berazategui | Club Mercedes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.9 | 5.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 5–0–0 Club Mercedes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 08/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Berazategui |
| 27/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 24/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 27/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Berazategui |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Centro Espanol | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Mercedes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | CA Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 29 |
| 7 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 28 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 27 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berazategui | Club Mercedes |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Puerto Nuevo | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CA Lugano | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Berazategui (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
Club Mercedes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Club Mercedes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Berazategui win (52%). Probabilities: Berazategui 52%, draw 30%, Club Mercedes 18%.
How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Club Mercedes?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Berazategui 1.41 · Club Mercedes 0.72), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Club Mercedes?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.