Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 17/07, 20:00

Prediction: Yupanqui vs Argentino de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Yupanqui1.36

Argentino de Rosario1.08

1X2

41% 31% 28%

Yupanqui Draw Argentino de Rosario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Yupanqui 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWLLWL

Argentino de Rosario 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDWLLDDL

Head-to-head

Yupanqui 1–2–3 Argentino de Rosario (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1484 · Argentino de Rosario 1480

	Yupanqui	Draw	Argentino de Rosario
Our model	42%	30%	29%
Market	41%	32%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Argentino de Rosario: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 13.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yupanqui	Argentino de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 1	7 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

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Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

Over/Under 2

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 1–2–3 Argentino de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-1 HT 1-0	Yupanqui
09/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	0-4 HT 0-2	Argentino de Rosario
26/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	2-2 HT 2-0	Yupanqui
09/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	0-3 HT 0-2	Argentino de Rosario
08/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	1-0 HT 1-0	Yupanqui
20/09/22 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Argentino de Rosario	0-1 HT 0-0	Yupanqui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canuelas FC	19	8	9	2	22	12	33
2	Lujan	19	9	6	4	22	14	33
3	Leones de Rosario	19	7	8	4	19	17	29
4	Yupanqui	19	7	6	6	23	20	27
5	General Lamadrid	19	7	6	6	18	20	27
6	Sportivo Barracas	19	7	4	8	20	18	25
7	Deportivo Espanol	19	5	10	4	16	14	25
8	El Porvenir	19	4	13	2	15	13	25
9	CA Atlas	19	6	7	6	16	17	25
10	Central Ballester	19	6	4	9	18	21	22
11	CA Claypole	19	5	6	8	15	23	21
12	Central Cordoba de Rosario	19	4	8	7	12	15	20
13	Deportivo Muniz	19	3	9	7	14	17	18
14	Fenix	19	4	5	10	12	21	17

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yupanqui	Argentino de Rosario
Central Cordoba de Rosario	2-1 W	0-0 D
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Yupanqui (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Yupanqui

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
06/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	4	8	W
27/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	8	L
14/06	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	8	L
06/06	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
31/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-4	7	6	L
22/05	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
16/05	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
09/05	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	11	D
03/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W

Argentino de Rosario

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
04/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
28/06	Union de Arroyo Seco Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
27/06	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
15/06	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
06/06	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
30/05	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	7	12	D
24/05	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-2	1	11	D
17/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	10	D
09/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs Argentino de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yupanqui win (41%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 41%, draw 31%, Argentino de Rosario 28%.

How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Yupanqui 1.36 · Argentino de Rosario 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Argentino de Rosario?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.